A useful article from Charity Excellence on the impact of the Cost of Living crisis on UK charities.  You can find more on their website https://www.charityexcellence.co.uk/

There are no major changes to our previous forecast, as the crisis appears to be following our modelling predictions.   

Good News. 

  • There has been some hopeful economic news, such as falling gas prices giving the Chancellor some head room
  • Inflation expected to fall soon.
  • Plus, the deterioration in fundraising that began in late 2021, has been slowing in recent months.
  • We think we may see some signs of recovery earlier than our predicted mid-year 2023.

Not So Good News. 

  • The Bank of England forecast suggests that economic recovery will take longer and.
  • We are seeing signs of deep financial distress amongst charities.
  • If there are significant closures as we fear, those charities won’t be coming back, and.
  • For others that are liquidating large amounts of reserves, restoring those will take years, with a commensurate impact on service delivery.
  • Our forecast for full sector recovery has moved from 2024 to 2025.

Read on